TPP: A challenge to Europe

What if the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is not a doomed initiative – and what if it will actually make inroads into modern trade problems? TPP will inevitably change the competitive relation between European and American firms to the world’s fastest growing consumer market. There is no reason to doubt that TPP is the new agenda-setting pillar in the Asia-Pacific region and beyond representing 60% of world trade – the same level as GATT during the 1980s. Our new policy brief explains how TPP will be the first ‘competing’ economic integration that is large enough to have a considerable negative impact on Europe, affecting also investment, productivity and competitiveness in the longterm. It also presents a 'deadly threat to European exporters of agricultural products in TPP countries’. While Europe negotiates bilaterally with some TPP countries, it has no  strategy equivalent to the TPP. The ongoing bilateral negotiations with Canada, Japan, Malaysia and Vietnam have been facing difficulties due to the priority given to TPP; it even adds pressure on existing FTAs with Mexico and Chile, whereas Australia and New Zealand are not being addressed at all.

In focus

ISDS - a priority in the EU trade policy?

Should the EU drop its ambition to have ISDS in TTIP - and perhaps in other trade agreements too? Investor protection has become a hut-button issue in EU trade politics, but few in the debate come with facts-based arguments. In a recent ECIPE publication experts have surveyed the recent decade of ISDS activity and found that the cases has continued to grow, and that the growth is concentrated to certain sectors with a high degree of government involvement or political patronage. Martina Ferracane and Fredrik Erixon have also commented on the role of ISDS in contemporary EU trade agreements with the focus on the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Agreement. In a previous work ECIPE has also analyzed ‘Repsol case’ in Argentina and its impact on investment protection issues. 

ECIPE is recruiting!

We are now looking for a Research Assistant for our Spring Internships Programme. If you are a recent Master's Graduate with interest in trade policy and political economy visit our website for more information and application deadline!

EU-China settle telecom equipment dispute

The European Commission and Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced on October 20 - separately - that a settlement had been reached that ends the EU CVD case against Chinese telecom equipment. Europe’s first ex officio investigation on Chinese subsidies quickly evolved into a matter of national prestige, internal divide and a two-year long episode of trade war. ECIPE scholars have commented on the case in various publications and in the media.

Next-generation trade defence: government-sponsored patent funds?

While there is an increasing interest for FTA disciplines that restricts state-owned enterprises, there is less debate on governments using intellectual property to engage in discriminatory industrial policy against foreign competition. A new report by Patrick Messerlin and Hosuk Lee-Makiyama points to how some SPFs, like France Brevets, even admit to being retaliatory or discriminatory instruments against foreign actors regardless of whether the original claim is legitimate or not. Such use of patents threatens to become a new trade defence instrument.

Investing in Obesity Treatment would Reduce Healthcare Spending

The obesity rate is growing fast – in Europe and around the world – and no government has effective policies for preventing obesity to increase healthcare expenditures. Yet while governments have been slow to react, medical scientists have now a good view of “what works” and “what doesn’t work” in policies to reduce obesity. A new study by ECIPE economists estimates that European countries stand to make huge savings in future healthcare expenditures if they use effective lifestyle weight management programmes to treat obesity today. If governments invest in smart obesity treatment, the UK and Spain could reduce healthcare expenditures related to obesity in 2030 by 10 and 12 percent. Germany could save around 6 percent while Sweden could “save” as much as 55 percent of future healthcare expenditures related to obesity.

Latest Publications

ECIPE Bulletin No. 14/2014
Familiar fault lines: the myth of EP independence in economic policy-making
By Hosuk Lee-Makiyama, Bert Verschelde
Summary | Download (PDF)

ECIPE Bulletin No. 13/2014
“Rethink and Reset”: Time to get rid of the Stability and Growth Pact?
By Matthias Bauer
Summary | Download (PDF)

ECIPE Policy Brief No. 09/2014
By Fredrik Erixon, Hosuk Lee-Makiyama, Matthias Bauer, Martina Francesca Ferracane
Summary | Download (PDF)

ECIPE Bulletin No. 12/2014
The ECB’s Ad hoc Monetary Policy: Will its Lack of Forward Guidance Finally Burst the Eurozone?
By Matthias Bauer
Summary | Download (PDF)

ECIPE Working Paper No. 02/2014
A FRIENDLY FIRE ON ECONOMIC RECOVERY: A Methodology to Estimate the Costs of Data Regulations
By Erik van der Marel, Hosuk Lee-Makiyama, Matthias Bauer
Summary | Download (PDF)

Upcoming Events

ECIPE in cooperation with SIIA: Understanding the Value of Transatlantic Data Flows
The most globally significant bilateral trade and investment relationship is between the U.S. and the European Union. An increasing amount of this economic relationship is underpinned by cross-border flows of data.
Speakers: Joshua Meltzer, John Midgley, Carl Schonander, Tilmann Kupfer, Hosuk Lee-Makiyama
More information

ECIPE Seminar: The Politics of Trade in the United States
The November election to the Congress brought the Republicans in control of both the Senate and the House. Trade press are ripe with opinions about how the election will change the politics of trade in the U.S. for the better – and that there should now be a forceful attempt by the Administration and the Congress to establish a new Trade Promotion Authority that allows the U.S. to push the Trans-Pacific Partnership to an end and revive the TTIP negotiations. At the same time, both parties are not far away from starting the nomination process for the 2016 presidential race – a process that will see both sides playing for the gallery of their parties. Given the charged relation between the Administration and the Republicans on a host of other issues, what are the chances that they are willing to take a pause from adversarial politics in order to get a deal on trade policy?
Speakers: Dan Ikenson
More information

Past events

Articles, Opinion and Commentary

U.S. Rebalancing and the Looming Liquidity Crisis
Miriam Campanella opines in Caixin about the US dollar and the Yuan

Keynes at Home, Smith Online
Op-ed by Hosuk Lee-Makiyama in Roll Call on Title II and net neutrality

A Survey of U.S. Citizen Attitudes Nationwide
Presentation by Chris Israel at the ECIPE conference The Politics of TTIP - What are the Key Controversies, How to Address them?, Brussels November 19, 2014

Modi Ritar om Asiens Karta
Fredrik Erixon opines (in Swedish) about how Modi begins to redraw the politics of Asia

Rethink and Reset: Time to get rid of the Stability and Growth Pact?
Matthias Bauer comments on the Stability and Growth Pact’s numerical ceilings in EurActiv

More articles